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Retention 2025
Survival Playbook

Zero fluff. 3–5 metrics that matter. What to do next.

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Reality Check — Survival Benchmarks (Dropshippers)

Ad & Order Math (typical)

ItemBenchmarkNote
CAC (paid)$20–$40Small accounts, basic creatives
AOV$15–$25Many low-ticket stores
First-order profit≈ $0Break-even is common

Core Health Metrics

MetricGood EnoughSolid
Repeat / Returning Rate10–20%20–30%
Second Order (60d)10–20%20–30%
LTV / CAC≥ 2.0≥ 2.5
Payback< 60 days< 45 days
Return Rate< 10%< 8%
Focus on these five. Ignore the rest until you're >$50k/mo.

Under Target? Do This First.

MetricGood TargetIf You're UnderNext Step
Repeat Rate20–30%Turn on post‑purchase SMS + 1‑click review askPersonalize offer by last SKU
Second Order (60d)15–25%Set winback at day 21/35/60Swap % off for small free add‑on
LTV/CAC≥ 2.0Bundle recommendations in order‑#2 push"Buy 2 save $X" to raise AOV
Payback Days< 45–60"Thank you" micro‑offer within 48hPause unprofitable ad sets
Return Rate< 8–10%Delivery + 48h check‑in messageSize/usage tips + easy portal

Quick Wins — Ship This Week

1) Post‑Purchase SMS (10 min)

"all good with your order?" + tip (size, care, how‑to)

if reply → pause flows, go 1:1

ask for photo/review after delivery

2) Winback Ladder (15 min)

day 21: "want me to save your usual?"

day 35: UGC + tiny nudge (no blanket %)

day 60: bundle rec based on last SKU

3) AOV Lift (15 min)

add "buy 2 save $X" + pre‑checkout add‑on

swap 10% off → small freebie for margin

feature best‑seller pairings

Playbooks by AOV

< $30 AOV

  • SMS first. Keep messages 1–2 lines. One ask only.
  • Replenish cadence: 14–21–35 days.
  • Free add‑on beats % off for margin.

$30–$80 AOV

  • Email + SMS combo (email detail, SMS nudge).
  • Bundles based on last SKU; offer "save your usual".
  • VIP early access for top 20% by contribution margin.

> $80 AOV

  • Concierge tone. Offer help choosing size/variant.
  • DM/chat for friction removal. Manual follow‑ups OK.
  • Zero blanket codes; use value adds, warranties, priority ship.

Manual Retention Campaign Templates (Value‑First, Product‑Led)

Clothing — Post‑Purchase Education

Clothing — 30‑Day Follow‑Up (Outfit Combos)

POD / Graphic Tees — Usage & Care + Add‑On

Accessories — Cross‑Sell by Function

Beauty / Skincare — Routine Builder

How to Personalize (Manual)

TokenWhat to mapWhere to source
{product}Primary SKU or titleOrder export
{related_product}SKU‑level affinity/cross‑sellTop bundles by SKU
{collection_link}Collection filtered to complementsManual curated URL
{personal_collection_link}Segmented collection by last SKUURL with tag filter
{bundle_link}Prebuilt bundle or cart URLBundler app / custom param
Tip: add UTM tags to every link (utm_source=email&utm_campaign=retention_{product}).

Snapshots (Tiny Teams)

Apparel POD

2‑person team, AOV $22

+14% revenue in 30 days from post‑purchase education + day‑21 combos.

Pet Accessories

solo founder, AOV $28

2.3 → 2.8 LTV/CAC by replacing blanket % with care‑tips + relevant add‑ons.

Phone Cases

1 VA, AOV $18

+9 pts repeat rate using 14‑21‑35 day ladder, product‑use tips, and quick add‑ons.

AI Retention Automation — What It Delivers

conversion

Post‑purchase education + winbacks run on autopilot.

repeat orders

SKU‑aware combos and replenishment drive order #2.

lower churn

After‑delivery check‑ins reduce returns and chargebacks.

time saved

Less manual follow‑up → more time for creative, sourcing, ops.

Automate Retention with Evolvoom.io

Plug‑and‑play retention for tiny teams. Post‑purchase education, winbacks, bundles — done for you.

See How It Works